May 25, 2013

Can idealism save the Grand Old Party?

I is for idealism, which may very much be the future of the GOP, if it is to regain relevancy.


 

For 37 years, Ron Paul was a member of the U.S. House of Representatives. Largely ineffective there, he earned the nickname Dr. No for his unwillingness to vote for government spending. It wasn’t until he ran for president, though, that he really hit his stride and reawakened interest in a national libertarian movement.

Now, Congress and Presidential campaigns behind him, Paul is almost more popular now than when he was in office. With his son, Senator Rand Paul, taking the baton, speaking out against war and the growth of government and regularly mentioned as a possible contender for the GOP nomination in 2016, libertarianism (little ‘l’) is coming out from the shadows and, to paraphrase Politico, going mainstream.

Could it save the Republican Party?

With post-mortem of the 2012 election continuing six months after the polls close, it’s clear that Republicans are taking a close look at what it takes to win an election, and whether the White House will be attainable in the foreseeable future.

Led by Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), libertarians hope to become a dominant wing of the GOP by tapping into a potent mix of war weariness, economic anxiety and frustration with federal overreach in the fifth year of Barack Obama’s presidency.

The country’s continuing fixation on fiscal issues, especially spending and debt, allows them to emphasize areas of agreement with conservative allies who are looking for ways to connect with Republicans who aren’t passionate about abortion or same-sex marriage. A Democratic administration ensures consensus on the right that states should get as much power as possible.

Senator Rand Paul filibusters from the Senate floor in March of 2013.

Senator Rand Paul filibusters from the Senate floor in March of 2013.

Libertarianism is no new member of the Republican Party. Ronald Reagan famously stated that “libertarianism is the heart and soul of conservatism.” In the years since his 1980 election, though, the influence of evangelicals have pushed their own brand of big government into the forefront of the Republican Party, and libertarians have been largely left in the wings.

However, America has changed over the last generation. Whether it’s the war on drugs/poverty/terrorism/marriage–Americans are tired of the government telling them what they should, or shouldn’t do, and they are leery of the secrecy and expanse of a government that has colluded with Wall Street for big “bailouts” while compiling kill lists for drone hunter/killers.

When Senator Paul took to the Senate floor to filibuster the nomination of John Brennan as Director of the CIA, activists and individuals on both sides of the political spectrum applauded. As Harper’s Magazine observed

The antiwar left saw the filibuster as a challenge to the violence and the innocent dead left in the drone program’s wake. The antigovernment right rallied around Paul’s pointed question about whether a hypothetical Hellfire missile might just leave a crater where your neighborhood Starbucks once stood. Rush Limbaugh called him the future. Code Pink activists brought him boxes of chocolates. #StandWithRand was, for a moment, the most popular Twitter topic on the planet.

But can the popularity last? Can the anti-statist movement shift the Republican Party?  Can idealism trump the establishment?

It’s an open question, but one that could hold the future of the Republican Party. For years Republicans have talked a good game, promising less government, then blithely creating programs that expand government’s reach and cost. For example, Medicare Part D, one of the largest expansions of government prior to the Affordable Care Act (aka Obamacare) received strong Republican support, including from conservatives like Congressman Denny Hastert and Senator Orrin Hatch.

But not anymore: with continued high unemployment and growth failing to return to pre-recession levels, Americans are starting to question whether a government that promises the world and delivers higher taxes and fewer jobs is a government “for the people.” Obamacare begins to take full effect in 2014, and already businesses are cutting workers hours to part-time levels to avoid providing mandated healthcare. It’s cheaper to pay a financial penalty.

And so, the rise of an idealistic view of government, where the government that serves best is that which weighs on us the least.

Can it work? Will it save the Republican Party?


Publius Online is participating in the Blogging from A to Z Challenge, a month-long quest to post every day. Each day should match a letter of the alphabet. Today is the letter I, as in Idealism.

Meet Derek Brown of Utah’s 49th Legislative District

(Scott Sommerdorf l Tribune file photo) Rep. Derek E. Brown, R-Cottonwood Heights, wants to give jails the legal right to force-feed inmates starving themselves.
Credits: (Scott Sommerdorf l Tribune file photo)

The following is a profile I wrote about Derek Brown, representative to the legislature from Utah’s 49th district, for Examiner.com (Please click on over and read it there!). Truth be told, a lot more could be written about Derek than I was able to squeeze in to the profile. He’s got an infectious good humor about everything, and it’s easy to talk to him about almost anything under the sun. I hope he’s able to win reelection this fall because we need more like him in public service.

____________________

It was late at night when Derek Brown, current state legislative representative from Utah Legislative District 49, realized it was time for a career change. The sun had set long ago, and his family was sleeping while he continued to work on a trial brief.

“I knew attorneys that had worked in the firm for decades, put in the time for their career, then one day they looked up and their kids are gone. It’s not where I wanted to be,” says Brown. Earning his undergraduate degree from BYU and a J.D. from Pepperdine School of Law, he had taken a job in a Washington, D.C. law firm.

“I remember one trial where I didn’t see my boys for three or four months,” says Brown. “I would be up early and come home late. It was very hard, really rough. In the middle of that, I was up at two a.m. writing briefs, and my wife came in. ‘I understand why and what you are doing,’ she said, ‘but FYI: this doesn’t work for me.’ I agreed with her. I decided it didn’t work for me either.”

Brown began to looking around and soon found opportunity on Washington, D.C.’s Capitol Hill, first as counsel Senator Bennett’s and then Senator Hatch’s office. During that same period, he and his wife started a recording production company that was centered in Salt Lake City and commuted between the two cities. By 2005, business was busy enough that Brown’s decided to move back to Utah. Now days, Derek splits his time between the production company and teaching as an adjunct professor of law at BYU.

With a growing business and a growing family (the Browns welcomed their fourth child to the family earlier this year), Derek kept busy. But in 2010, despite feeling like he had had enough politics after living in Washington, D.C., Derek found himself looking to be involved again. Dissatisfied with the then current representative, Democrat Jay Seegmiller, Brown got behind another Republican who was planning on running for the seat. Then, a week before the filing deadline, he got a call. The presumptive Republican nominee was pulling out of the race. Would Derek be interested in running?

“It caught me off guard,” says Brown. “But I decided to go for it. I jumped in with both feet. Man, though, I don’t think people realize how much time goes into it. I certainly didn’t.”

Having made the decision to run, Brown sought advice from an old friend and mentor that had served in the legislature before years before. The advice he gave was not about politics, but time management.

“[The friend] said ‘you have no idea how much time [the legislature] will take,’” says Brown, remembering the conversation. “’Get ready now, put your life in order, and get ready for a flood.’ He was right. It’s just non-stop. It’s always in the back of your brain, constant pressure, of something going on.”

The busy season begins before the legislature even opens for business, says Brown.
“Lot of groups who want to meet before the session are trying to contact you because once the session starts, they know it’s really crazy and they won’t be able to catch you.”
This is to say nothing of the Utah legislative session itself.

As we spoke about the Utah legislative experience, it was hard to forget that Brown had a law degree and had worked for two U.S. Senators.

How hard could it be?

Hard enough, apparently. Elected in 2010, Rep. Brown described the legislative session as the “single more exhausting thing I’ve ever done.”

“I’m there from seven to nine, and that’s not including preparation,” says Brown. “I’m up early to read the bills for the next day, and I’ve got to analyze the different aspects of the law and, under the time constraints of the session, it’s brutally difficult. The text will often refer to different places in the code, which requires cross-referencing and further analysis. Bills are anywhere from ten to a hundred pages long.”

Analysis is just the beginning, though, says Brown. The sheer quantity of legislation covered magnifies complexities.

“It’s seven hundred votes in thirty working days,” he says, “and votes over very diverse topics.”

Although he is a Republican, Brown isn’t easily put in a box. Last year, when a Democratic state senator proposed legislation banning discrimination against gays, Brown was the House sponsor, surprising many.

“It’s the right thing to do,” Brown said to the Salt Lake Tribune at the time. “This is a value not only of mine and my friends and family, but it reflects the values of the community I live in, the values of the constituents I represent.”

Looking into what is the “right thing to do” is a good way to describe Brown’s judicial philosophy. Follow the money back to the beneficiary, he says, and you will find the real reason for the legislation, especially when dealing with his two pet peeves: special interest groups and micromanagement of cities.

“What’s frustrating,” says Brown “is the level of special interests. One particular industry will push and get laws passed are to the exclusion of others industries, companies, or individuals. One particular company that I know of will hire three or four lobbyists that will benefit themselves to the exclusion of others, including forcing cities to do stuff they would not otherwise do.”

The irony of a politicians complaining about the heavy hand of the federal government and then passing legislation dictating law to cities is not lost on Brown.

“Here we are pushing back against the federal government,” he says, “and then we turn around and tell cities what to do.”

Special interests add levels of complexity, too. Legislation, Brown says, is often “deliberately complex. Insiders benefit from complexity, often because they, or their lobbyists, wrote it, and got it passed by the legislature.” Follow the money, and it always leads back to the source.

“When you have something so complex that only a few understand it, someone has to benefit if they understand what’s going on.”

Even though he is running for reelection, Brown isn’t waiting until he wins to begin planning for the 2013 legislation session. He’s already begun to work on bills and issues he believes are important to his constituents.

Among other things, Brown is looking at tightening loopholes in Utah’s elections laws, working with the Department of Consumer Protection to update the laws protecting consumers against deceptive business practices, and reviewing licensure requirements to determine if they are protecting the public or proving to be a barrier for entry.

And all this while campaigning for reelection and shuttling his sons to play practice for Hale Center Theatre’s production of “Oliver!” As ever, Brown puts a premium on his family, and he puts them first, even when it might mean more work. It never seems to dampen his mood.

“When it rains, it pours,” he says, describing a busy day, but for a guy who is also a concert pianist (Brown put himself through school playing at restaurants, Lagoon, and for weddings), he does a great job managing his time and making the pieces fit.

Polls got you down? Don’t Panic

Don’t panic.

These two simple words can save you a world of worry and even improve how you respond to life.

So take a deep breath and don’t worry. Don’t panic.

To the topic: polls. There’s really only one that matters, and it’s only held in November. That doesn’t mean we don’t follow every poll like it’s a glance at the scoreboard of a rivalry week football game. The difference is that elections are not about getting ahead and running the clock out–they’re about peaking on election day.

So relax, take a breath, and realize that polls are less like a scoreboard and more like taking the temperature of a body of water…a large body. You can get the temperature at any given point, but you only learn so much. Factors like where you dip your thermometer, how deep you dip it, what time of day you take the temperature, and so on will all affect the reading. Similarly, with polls, who the poll calls, what time of day, who answers the phone, and what football game is on at the same time…all this will affect the outcome of the poll.

In the end, polling is only helpful, but often not indicative of the result. Even Ronald Reagan was running behind Jimmy Carter at this point in the election in 1980, by almost four points. So, when polls seem to be “all over the place,” says John Fund, take a look at the polls are handling “undecided” voters:

This year there may be more undecided voters out there than people think. Most pollsters deal with voters who say they “don’t know” how they will vote by asking them whom they lean toward. Zogby says that kind of “hard pushing” creates very “soft” supporters, who can easily change their minds or not vote at all.

There are other reasons polls tilt slightly toward Democrats. The late Warren Mitofsky, who developed exit polling for CBS News in the 1960s, believed Democrats were more likely to respond to media polls than were Republicans, who may distrust the “liberal” news media. More than 80 percent of the people pollsters try to contact

routinely hide behind voice mail or screening devices or otherwise refuse to answer. That makes survey results more uncertain, and should cause concern, caution, and above all humility in reporting polling results.

Confucius says: humility in reporting polling results saves embarrassment on election day.  Polls are regularly wrong or survey the wrong people.

Last, remember this: no sitting president who has run an approval rating less than 50% has garnered reelection, and President Obama is stuck hovering around 48% (Washington Post/ABC). He’s been around there for two and half years.

[National Review]

Rolling with the ups and downs: the ‘bus from hell’ & Gov Christie at breakfast

From an unexpectedly long ride back from the Republican Convention Tuesday night to an unexpectedly warm and funny breakfast with Chris Christi, the Utah delegation is seeing both ups and downs.

After a long night at the convention, we piled into the “GOP Express” outside the Tampa Bay Forum for a short ride over to Raymond James Stadium. Under a giant billboard advertising the Buccaneers, along with future state senator Deidre Henderson and husband Gabe and Congressman Jason Chaffetz and his wife, we transferred to another bus that would take us back to our hotel and a Utah delegation hosted after-convention party. Getting in around 11:30 PM or so, we were the lucky ones. Another bus carrying the rest of the delegation (or, rather, nearly all the delegation) was delayed and sat idling for almost two hours.

“The bus from hell,” one delegate called it. The last place anyone wanted to be at 2 AM was on a bus. With typical aplomb and optimism, members of the Utah delegation turned it into what Sean Reyes called a “party bus,” singing Neil Diamond‘s “Sweet Caroline” and Aerosmith’s “Walk this Way.” (Classic conservative hits? No, not so much, but it’s music, folks).

Fortunately, the morning agenda didn’t begin until 10, and with Chris Christie headlining for a late breakfast, it didn’t take much to get delegates up and at’m. Sharing his lighter side and keeping the delegates rolling with laughter, Christie talked about Mitt Romney‘s visit to his home last year to ask for his endorsement for the Presidency.

“It was great to hear him,” said one delegate. “He could easily pick up a career as a stand-comedian if he retires from politics.”

Others agreed. “Christie gets a rap for being hard and bull-dogish,” said one man. “But I’ve seen him several times in a more private setting, like this morning, and he’s really just such a kind, funny, and friendly guy.”

It was rare opportunity for Utah’s delegation to connect with one of the biggest names in politics, and he didn’t disappoint. If Christie ever chooses to enter the national stage, expect Utah’s Republicans to lend him their support.

Ann Romney brings heart to the Romney campaign

Ann Romney speaks to the Republican National Convention on August 28, 2012.

Mitt Romney has the nomination, but he must still prove to swing voters that he can be trusted with their votes.

For Mitt Romney to seal the deal with swing voters, he must appeal to their hearts, as well as their minds. They believe that he has experience, ability, and intelligence, but they’re not sure that he gets them. Until they do, it will be hard for Romney to seal the deal.

And he needs to seal the deal.

Enter Ann Romney. If there was a question about whether there is heart in the Romney campaign, Ann Romney put that question to rest.

When she took the stage and told the energetic crowd that she wanted to talk about love in a gentle voice, a hush came over the arena. After a long day of speeches dripping in “red meat,” it was water in the desert, and Ann’s comments brought Republicans to their feet, repeatedly, as she spoke about raising her family on “rainy winter afternoons in a house with five boys screaming at once,” about having a “real marriage” not a “storybook marriage,” and her disappointment at her husband’s success attacked.

“[D]o we want to raise our children to be afraid of success? Do we send our children out in the world with the advice, ‘Try to do… okay?’”

Chris Christi was the key note speaker, but Ann Romney will move the most votes with her more intimate comments about her decades as Mitt Romney’s partner and wife. If swing voters are looking for a reason to like Mitt Romney, Ann made a strong case for giving him a serious look. The Republican National Convention has two more nights, and the case isn’t finished, but Ann Romney started melting everyone (except perhaps Chris Matthews and Rachel Maddow) waiting for a reason to warm to Mitt Romney.

Packing hygiene kits with the Utah Delegation

Utah House Speaker Becky Lockhart and others assist at the Utah delegation humanitarian project on Monday.

With tropical storm/hurricane Isaac crossing the Gulf of Mexico, the schedule for the Republican National Convention was abbreviated today, but that doesn’t mean Utah’s delegates weren’t busy. This morning, after a breakfast honoring Senator Orrin Hatch, the Utah Republican Party organized a humanitarian service project for delegates packing hygiene kits for use in any areas affected by the Isaac storm system.

“When we heard about hurricane Isaac, we decided to turn a negative into a positive,” said Thomas Wright, Utah Republican Party Chairman. Although it’s become something of a tradition for Utah Republicans to do a service project during the national convention–they did one in St. Paul in 2008, too–Wright said that the delegates planned on assembling back to school kits for children in need later in the week and only threw together this additional project in the last few days. The materials in the kits were donated by Utah business leader Fred Lampropoulous and Merit Medical.

Including toothpaste, toothbrushes, towels, soap, and other sundry items, the kits were quickly assembled by volunteers that included Attorney General Mark Shurtleff in a t-shirt, several legislators in dressed down to work, Speaker Rebecca Lockhart with her sleeves rolled up, and, in addition to the members of the Utah delegation, members of the Arizona, California and Hawaii delegations who dropped in to help. Energy was high, and some delegates broke out in an

impromptu and slightly off-key version of the BYU fight song (a version that Chairman Wright, a Ute, said was “out-of-order”). Later, a member of the Hawaii delegation led the room in “God Bless America.”

The kits are to be given to LDS Charities locally and, with Isaac shifting from a tropical storm to a potentially category 2 hurricane as it approaches the Gulf coast near New Orleans, may even be distributed later this week.

What I’m looking for at the Republican National Convention

Next week, the Republican National Convention will gather in Tampa Bay to formally nominate Mitt Romney for President and Paul Ryan as Vice President.  In spite of hurricane Isaac, I’ll be there with KSL News Radio as their “Star Correspondent” for the week. We’ll be there to report back to Utah on the convention, to make sure you hear about what is happening, even if it doesn’t make the prime time broadcast.

You can follow the convention here, on KSL.com, and on my Twitter feed @publiusdb . We’ll post as it happens.

Here’s just a brief list of a few of the things I’ll be looking for at the convention:

  • Politicians, lots of them. Nothing brings together so many big names in politics quite like the conventions. The speaking schedule is a who’s who list of the luminaries in the Republican Party with stars like Sen. Marco Rubio, who will introduce Mitt Romney on Thursday night, libertarian and Tea Party favorite Sen. Paul Rand, Governor Nikki Haley, and even our own Mayor Mia Love, the Utah Republican Party challenger to Jim Matheson.
  • Meet Mitt Romney. We’ve already started to see some of the themes of the fall election coalesce. For the most part, though, people haven’t paid as much attention as they will starting this week.  With prime time broadcasts on the three major networks Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, this will be the Republican Party’s opportunity to frame the debate and to introduce Romney (and Ryan) on their terms. The word on the street is that we’ll also be hearing more about Mitt Romney’s faith, something he has shied away from addressing very much to date.
  • Meet delegates. With an estimated 50,000 people coming, there will be Republicans of all flavors and persuasions. I know Democrats love to portray the right as monolithic, but it’s a big-tent party and there are a lot of collected interests on the right. I look forward to meeting as many of them as possible and learning about how they think. I’m especially interested in what they think about Mitt Romney. Contrary to popular belief, delegates are political hacks…at least not all of them. Many will be ordinary people who have put the effort into getting elected a delegate and have the cash to get to Tampa Bay.
  • English: Paul Ryan, Member of the U.S. House o...

    Paul Ryan, Member of the U.S. House of Representatives (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

    Our next Vice President. When Doug Wright asked me on his show who I most wanted to meet at the Republican Convention, I didn’t hesitate: Paul Ryan, and this before he was selected as Mitt’s running mate. I suspect he’ll be a little harder to approach to get a photo, but he’s still the top of my list, for obvious reasons. America, though, doesn’t know as much about him, and we’ll want to find out why Romney thought he would complete the ticket.

  • Future leaders. Conventions are famous for bringing to the spotlight previously low profile politicians. Think Barack Obama in 2004. I’m wonder if we’ll see any break out speeches during the convention, and if we do, who will be giving them. While the main businesses of the convention is to help elect the next president, it’s a national stage for an ambitious politician with future national aspirations.

What do you want to see come out of the Republican National Convention? Are you going?