June 18, 2013

Short Book Review: “Unholy Wars: Afghanistan, America, and International Terrorism” by John K. Cooley

Unholy Wars: Afghanistan, America, and International Terrorism

John Cooley knows his stuff and “Unholy Wars”  has a “been there, interviewed him” feel to it. While it, could use a little editing and organization, but by the end, I had a far better picture of how we got to where we are now.

When given the choice of a number of books to read for a class on the law of war and terror, I chose this one, and I was not disappointed. Primarily concerned with US action in Afghanistan and the rise of the Taliban and later Osama bin Laden in the mire left by the Soviet occupation in the 1980s.

Cooley has an incredible amount of information and relies on interviews he conducted with key players over the last 30 years. He sees the rise of terror in that state as largely a result of the unchecked flow of weapons and money to the mujaheddin from the United States to support the guerrilla war against the Soviets. With the exodus of Soviet tanks from Afghanistan, the US left also, closing, almost overnight, intelligence operations and diplomatic presence. The result was a disastrous civil war between warlords and religious fanatics that allowed the rise of the Taliban.

Citing the US as a culprit in the quagmire, a significant amount of responsibility is placed on the actions of the Pakistani intelligence services. Controlled by religious ideologues, the Pakistani intelligence services operated nearly autonomously from other Pakistani government branches, and often in opposition to stated policy. Its ostensible purpose was create a religiously friendly state on Pakistan‘s western border to take weight off of pressure created by the often contentious, and occasionally violent, relationship with India on its other side.

Eventually, it leads to the export of the “holy warriors” around the world, and followed later by opium as a cash crop supporting the somewhat outcast Taliban government.

In short, a must read.

The book suffers from a lack of editing and a somewhat choppy organization. However, the sheer volume of information easily makes the difficulty of following Cooley’s occasionally scattered writing well worth the challenge.

View all my reviews

Become an “expert” in about five books (plus or minus)

If you’re interested in becoming an “expert” in a flash, or at least boning up on a topic, then nothing beats reading a few well written books. The only trouble is finding the time and finding the right books.

Find the time and the books, though, and  it is one of the cheapest, and most accessible, ways to an education. A true leveler. Suddenly, you can pontificate with the loudest out there, yell at the T.V. with impunity, and tell Chris Matthews where he’s wrong (a clue: on just about everything that involves a thrill up his leg). [Read more...]

Thoughts on “Obama’s Wars” by Bob Woodward

Cover of "Obama's Wars"

Cover of Obama's Wars

I just finished “Obama’s Wars” by Bob Woodward. I don’t know that I feel ready to review a book by Woodward, but I do have some thoughts after reading it. [Read more...]

Terror Alerts in a time of elections

There are October surprises (“some unforeseen or otherwise dramatic development that prompts millions of voters to rethink their assumptions and allegiances“) and there are terror alerts.

During the Bush Administration, initially because of nationwide fears after 9/11, terror alerts began with corresponding increases in “chatter” amongst the terrorist networks, as intercepted by our intelligence agencies. Because it often seemed that the alerts increased in the month just before federal elections, skeptics questioned whether the terror alerts were legitimate, or whether they were manufactured to create a “rally around the chief” effect, bumping the President’s party a few percentage points.

Over at the fantastically fascinating blog Information is Beautiful, they’ve taken the data available from Google to examine this hypothesis, noting that the effect does not seem to have been limited to President Bush.  Indeed, it appears that we see it happening right now. Below, the graph shows how the key words “terror alert” and “election time” tracked on Google.  The key words increased as the events approached or occurred. As they explain “It tracks the intensity of keywords over time- an interesting barometer of the group mind.”

Ironically, the complaints–that the President is raising the threat level for political gain–are coming from Pakistan, asserting that intelligence cited by the Americans, and followed by the UK and France, is unspecific.

“I will not deny the fact that there may be internal political dynamics, including the forthcoming midterm American elections. If the Americans have definite information about terrorists and al-Qaida people, we should be provided [with] that and we could go after them ourselves,” Hasan, [a veteran diplomat who is close to Pakistan's president], said.

What do you think? Are increased threats at this time probable? Are the threats spurious?

I personally don’t see how the increased threat level can help President Obama, or his party, nor do I think the evidence suggests that he is trying to levy a threat level to helping him politically.  If he was, I think we would see more talk about the treat of terrorist attacks, not the usual campaign fare that Democrats and Republicans are spewing right now. So while I see in the graph a correlation, I don’t think that it is convincing that there is causation.

If it is intended as a political bump to the President’s party, and right now the Democrats could use a bump, it’s getting lost in all the noise.

For more graphs, check out Google Insight, here.

(Thx to Information is Beautiful)

The Pentagon Papers of the Afghan War? Or more smoke than fire?

Logo used by Wikileaks
Image via Wikipedia

Check it at the New York Times here, the Wall Street Journal here, Boing Boing here, and especially here, at Wikileaks.

It may be the “largest intelligence leak in history”.

Here are a few books that you might want to read: Taliban, by Ahmed Rashid, Ghost Wars by Steve Coll, Unholy Wars by John Cooley, and Descent into Chaos, also by Ahmed Rashid.  Will the past prove to be prophetic?

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