May 22, 2013

When the government picks winners, the applicants might already be losers

By the time lobbyists in Washington, D.C. (or at any of the state capitols  or local city governments across the country) convince lawmakers that a subsidy is needed for a particular industry, it might just be that the company is already taking a turn for the worse, says a new study.

The researchers looked at some $5 billion in spending from 1998 to 2008 in their study that will be published in the fall. Their findings showed that on average, the more a company shelled out for government affairs and political interests at the federal level, the worse it performed financially.

“If you look at most of the literature on business management and strategy, the implication is that these investments really pay off,” Doug Schuler, study co-author and professor of business and public policy at Rice, told Reuters.

“But we found a really persistent negative relationship” between political activity and market performance, he said.

The research also found that in terms of return on sales, higher political spending on average had either marginally negative, or statistically insignificant impacts.

The only exception? About 10 percent of the companies surveyed did better only when they were already highly regulated.

This isn’t just a problem for the federal government, either. When local and state governments shell out money to prop up a “pet industry,” the government must, of necessity, take from Peter to give to Paul. Every RDA, loan guarantee, or special tax treatment is just another way of propping up a private company at tax payer’s expense. It’s called “picking winners,” because the government is essentially guessing that this company is going to work, pay back the money, and the government will come out on top.

Unfortunately, more often than not (if not nine times out of ten) the government–city, state, or federal–picks that winner not based on market success but on lobbyist donations. As a result, often dubious enterprises are propped up beyond their useful life by taxpayer money, money that is frequently lost from productive use.

Want an example? The most glaring is Solyndra, mentioned above. Touted as a green energy company, in 2009 the Obama Administration provided it with $535 million in loan guarantees. Additionally, the California government gave it $25.1 million in tax breaks. Then, on August 31, 2011, Solyndra declared bankruptcy, laying off 1100 workers. Ouch.

Closer to home, you might look at UTOPIA, a consortium of 11 Utah cities that have formed to compete with the private sector to provide telecom services and a dubious project that, if it worked, would provide very high-speed internet to participating customers in participating cities across Utah. While not a company, it acts as one and has been set up by government to compete with private companies. There are those, such as myself, who do not believe government should subsidize competition with the private sector.  Further UTOPIA’s ongoing problem is that it requires participant cities to foot the initial cost of building the network until sufficient customers can be attracted to repay the costs. So far, the project has run over budget and has been unable to attract enough customers to meet targets. In fact, from 2010 to 2011, it started to lose customers. The cost was just too high for people to pay when sufficient internet bandwidth is available from private companies.

Inability to gain customers is one thing, and there are those that argue that UTOPIA has begun to gain customers, but regardless  UTOPIA has consistently been required to rely upon taxpayers to balance its budget when it has failed to meet its stated goals.  As the Utah Taxpayer’s Association  argues, after so many repeated failures to meet promises, perhaps local governments would face up and end the pain:

UTOPIA, and its enablers on the city councils in UTOPIA’s member cities, have heard these concerns repeatedly. Many even agree that these arguments should have persuaded their predecessors in the city  governments to not venture down this path at all. However, they feel compelled to pony up more money, to make sure taxpayers don’t lose the money already committed to back UTOPIA’s bonds. Unfortunately, that money is already gone.

Rather than cut their losses, though, and move on, cities continue to throw good money after bad.  Take West Valley City, for example. In 2010, to match its obligations to UTOPIA and help cover UTOPIA’s shortfall, In the 2011 budget year,

To cover their $3.5 million UTOPIA bill, West Valley City is proposing an 18% property tax increase. While West Valley City officials insist that the property tax increase is unrelated to the UTOPIA bill, it is no coincidence that the exact amount of revenue generated from the property tax increase is $3.5 million.

The tax increase would amount to $70.44 on the average home valued at $185,000 and $128.16 for businesses of the same value. West Valley City already has the second highest property tax burden in the state.

That budget passed, and West Valley residents, whether they use UTOPIA or not, saw an 18% increase in their taxes.  And guess what–UTOPIA seems to fit all the characteristics of a subsidized company that the market wouldn’t support otherwise.

Maybe it’s time to choose leaders who won’t subsidize private business and use the government to compete with the market?  Even the Chinese can make a city look good by pouring enough money into it. Just look at the Olympics. That doesn’t mean the economy will do better because of it.

Helping a company, or competing with a company using taxpayer dollars, only removes from the market resources that the market would have otherwise, and more efficiently, used to create more competitive products.

In Solyndra’s case, the Obama Administration picked the company they thought would last. They were wrong.

In UTOPIA’s case, eleven cities have opted to create a product that the private sector was unwilling to support on it’s own. If the private sector won’t support it, why should the government?

[MSN] [UTA]

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How does Matheson survive? He doesn’t.

Today, in Salt Lake Magazine, Rebecca Walsh writes what is probably best described as “free advertising”.  With almost no news worthy event to write about, Walsh goes after the obvious topic of concern to Salt Lake: how Jim Matheson wins reelection.

And his opponent this year is an unusual (but compelling) novelty in Utah politics: African-American Mormon Mia Love. It’s not inconceivable that the moderate Utah Republicans who vote for Matheson will want to rebut the idea that race has anything to do with their opposition to Obama by voting for Love. Scott Matheson’s son is a canny politician. In office since 2001, he’s held off six conservative challengers—in redder-than-red Utah. Whatever he’s doing is working.

You may not know what he stands for, but Jim Matheson knows how to survive.

Really. With with a Republican Primary nearly upon us–which means a race for Attorney General, Auditor, US Senator, and a County Mayor (PS vote Mark Crockett), at least–Walsh opts to cover the race that is all but on the back-burner until after June 26th.

My problem with the piece is that it is obviously a fluff piece for Jim Matheson that his campaign should probably have paid for the advertising.  After running through a series of issues on which Matheson voted with the rest of the Utah delegation on (War in Iraq, Bush tax cuts), and conceding that Matheson did support Obamacare (there’s just no way getting around that one, even if Walsh calls it “splitting the difference), Walsh essentially calls Matheson a DINO. That is, a Democrat in Name Only.

But for all intents and purposes, Matheson is a moderate Republican. In any other state, he’d be a good conservative.

Then why isn’t he? Truth to tell, this is part of the narrative that Democrats want Republicans to believe so that they will vote for the six term Democrat.  Matheson is no more a moderate Republican than California is culturally Utahn. At best, Matheson is conservative Democrat who picks and chooses his battles to put up enough votes to tout on literature and the phone town halls he does (I’ve never been able to find a Matheson showing up at a real town hall. I suspect they’re too unpredictable for him.

But back to the question: “How Matheson Survives.” After all, that is the headline.

Unfortunately, Walsh never answers, likely because she doesn’t have an answer. Other than recapping Matheson’s past elections (a dismissing his opponents’ differences as little more than preference over who they would vote for as Speaker of the House), Walsh’s whole argument seems to be that Matheson will survive because Matheson wants to extend the Bush tax cuts. If that’s it, let’s put the shoe on the other foot: so does the Republican challenger, Mia Love.

Except that Mia Love will vote to extend the tax cuts, too, and even maybe make them permanent, as part of a Republican majority, allowing her more influence in proposing legislation, speaking out for Utah, and fighting wasteful government spending. Further, Love can do something Matheson can never do: take on Democrats for their big spending policies. Even if he wanted to, assuming for a moment that  he is little more than a moderate Republican, Matheson could never take on Democrats for their spending and taxing. He never has and he’s not given any indication that he will now. That’s just not how he rolls.

How he rolls is to keep his head low, talk a good game, and avoid hot button issues.

Meanwhile, there is a plan to beat him, and while Walsh would prefer to post a headline suggesting Matheson can win again because he has won in the past, consider a few salient points:

  1. Matheson has never been on the ballot in his new district. After jumping ship on his District 2, Matheson now faces an electorate in District 4 that has never voted for him. He has some incumbency advantage due to name ID, but due more to his family than to himself.
  2. The National Republican Congressional Committee has reserved  almost a million dollars in television advertising in Salt Lake’s media market to support Mia Love’s election. Most years, the Republican nominee against Matheson is lucky if he can get the attention of the national Republicans any time before September, let alone in June. Not only is the NRCC jumping in, but Rep. Paul Ryan, budget hawk superstar, is coming to Salt Lake to fund-raise for Mia later this month.
  3. The excitement factor surrounding Mia Love is palpable, and it’s an advantage the Jim just can’t create. No other candidate against Matheson has ever excited this kind of interest, and that excitement is likely to carry on through November.

So how does Matheson survive? Really, I can see just one way: run television ads from now until election day and hope that no one makes an effort to point out his weaknesses as a Democrat during a Republican majority Congress.